In The Reckoning Forecast, Crispin Harrowell pulls the whole Fault Lines series into one usable picture: why the world feels like it's accelerating, why confidence keeps learning the wrong lessons, and why "normal" is starting to feel conditional without ever announcing itself. This isn't a prediction dressed up as certainty. It's an orientation tool for people who want to stay clear-eyed without spiralling. Harrowell builds three practical pattern lenses-constraints, incentives, technology shock-and uses them to map three plausible pathways the coming decade can slide into: a fragmented bloc world, a tense but workable managed rivalry, or cascading crises driven less by a single catastrophe than by compounding shocks and institutional fatigue. At the heart of the book is a Signpost Dashboard: a short list of checkable signals that tell you which stabilisers are winning and which accelerants are. Alongside it sit crisp falsifiers-the handful of conditions that would genuinely change the author's mind. If you've felt the odd sensation of calm on the surface and grind underneath, this book gives you language for what you're sensing, and a way to navigate it without buying comforting lies.